I-Euro yehle ngaphansi kwesilinganiso uma iqhathaniswa neDola

Inkomba ye-DOLLAR, ekhuphuke ngaphezu kwe-107 ngesonto eledlule, iqhubekile nokunyuka kwayo kuleli sonto, ifinyelela izinga eliphezulu kakhulu kusukela ngo-Okthoba 2002 ngobusuku obubodwa eduze ne-108.19.

Kusukela ngo-17:30, Julayi 12, isikhathi saseBeijing, inkomba ye-DOLLAR yayingu-108.3.Us June CPI izokhishwa ngoLwesithathu, ngesikhathi sendawo.Njengamanje, idatha elindelekile iqinile, okungenzeka ukuthi izoqinisa isisekelo sokuthi i-Federal Reserve ikhuphule izinga lenzalo ngamaphoyinti angu-75 (BP) ngoJulayi.

I-Barclays ishicilele umbono wohlobo lwemali olunesihloko esithi “Idola elibizayo liyisamba sazo zonke izingozi zomsila”, obekubonakala sengathi kufingqa izizathu zamandla edola - ukungqubuzana phakathi kweRussia ne-Ukraine, ukushoda kwegesi eYurophu, ukwehla kwamandla emali okungase kwenyuse idola. ngokumelene nezimali ezinkulu kanye nengcuphe yokuwohloka komnotho.Ngisho noma iningi licabanga ukuthi idola lingase lidlulwe ngokweqile esikhathini eside, lezi zingozi zingase zenze idola lidlulele ngokweqile esikhathini esifushane.

Amaminithi omhlangano wenqubomgomo yezimali ye-Federal Open Market Committee kaJuni, okhishwe ngesonto eledlule, akhombisa ukuthi izikhulu eziphakelayo azizange zixoxe ngokwehla komnotho.Bekugxilwe ekwehleni kwamanani emali (okukhulunywe izikhathi ezingaphezu kwezingu-20) kanye nezinhlelo zokukhuphula izinga lenzalo ezinyangeni ezizayo.I-Fed ikhathazeke kakhulu ngokuthi izinga eliphezulu le-inflation liba “eligxilile” kunengozi yokuwohloka komnotho okungase kube khona, okuphinde kwakhuphula okulindelekile kokukhuphuka kwezinga elinolaka.

Esikhathini esizayo, yonke imibuthano ayikholelwa ukuthi i-DOLLAR izoba buthaka kakhulu, futhi amandla cishe azoqhubeka."Imakethe manje ibheja i-92.7% ekukhuphukeni kwesilinganiso se-75BP emhlanganweni we-Fed ngoJulayi 27 kuya ku-2.25% -2.5%.Ngokombono wezobuchwepheshe, inkomba ye-DOLLAR izokhomba ukumelana ku-109.50 ngemuva kokuphula izinga le-106.80, u-Yang Aozheng, umhlaziyi omkhulu waseShayina e-FXTM Futuo, etshela izintatheli.

UJoe Perry, umhlaziyi omkhulu eJassein, naye utshele izintatheli ukuthi inkomba ye-DOLLAR inyukele phezulu ngendlela ehlelekile kusukela ngoMeyi 2021, yakha indlela eya phezulu.Ngo-Ephreli 2022, kwacaca ukuthi i-Fed izonyusa amanani ngokushesha kunalokho obekulindelwe.Ngenyanga eyodwa nje, inkomba ye-DOLLAR inyuke isuka cishe ku-100 yaya cishe ku-105, yehla yaya ku-101.30 yaphinde yavuka.Ngomhla ziyisi-6 kuNtulikazi, yema emgwaqeni okhuphukayo futhi isanda kwandisa izinzuzo zayo.Ngemuva kophawu lwe-108, "ukumelana okuphezulu nguSepthemba 2002 okuphezulu kwe-109.77 kanye no-September 2001 okuphansi kwe-111.31."Kusho uPerry.

Eqinisweni, ukusebenza okuqinile kwedola ikakhulukazi "ontanga", i-euro ibala cishe i-60% yenkomba ye-DOLLAR, ubuthakathaka be-euro bube nomthelela enkombeni yedola, ubuthakathaka obuqhubekayo be-yen ne-sterling nabo banikele edoli. .

Ingozi yokuwohloka komnotho e-eurozone manje inkulu kakhulu kunase-US ngenxa yomthelela omubi e-Europe Wokungqubuzana phakathi kweRussia ne-Ukraine.UGoldman Sachs usanda kubeka engcupheni yokuthi umnotho wase-US ungene ekuwohlokeni komnotho ngonyaka ozayo ngamaphesenti angama-30, uma kuqhathaniswa namaphesenti angama-40 e-eurozone namaphesenti angama-45 e-UK.Yingakho i-European Central Bank isalokhu iqaphile ngokukhuphula izinga lenzalo, ngisho nalapho i-inflation iphezulu.I-Eurozone CPI ikhuphuke yaya ku-8.4% ngoJuni kanye ne-CPI eyinhloko yaya ku-3.9%, kodwa i-ECB manje kulindeleke kabanzi ukuthi ikhulise inzalo nge-25BP kuphela emhlanganweni wayo we-15 July, ngokuphambene kakhulu nokulindela kwe-Fed kokukhuphuka kwezinga elingaphezu kwe-300BP. kulo nyaka.

Kuhle ukusho ukuthi inkampani yamapayipi egesi yemvelo i-Nord Stream Natural ithe ivale okwesikhashana imigqa emibili yepayipi legesi yemvelo i-nord Stream 1 esetshenziswa yile nkampani kusukela ngo-7 PM ngesikhathi saseMoscow ngosuku lomsebenzi wokulungisa, kubika i-RIA Novosti NgoNovemba 11. Manje njengoba ukushoda kwegesi yasebusika eYurophu kuyinto eqinisekile futhi ingcindezi iyakhula, lokhu kungase kube utshani obuphula umhlane wekamela, ngokusho kwe-ejensi.

NgoJulayi 12, ngesikhathi saseBeijing, i-euro yehla ngaphansi kokulingana uma iqhathaniswa ne-DOLLAR yaya ku-0.9999 ngokokuqala ngqá cishe eminyakeni engama-20.Kusukela ngo-16:30 ngosuku, i-euro yayihweba cishe ngo-1.002.

"I-Eurusd engaphansi kuka-1 ingase ibangele ama-oda amakhulu okulahlekelwa kokuyeka, idale ama-oda amasha okuthengisa futhi idale ukuguquguquka okuthile," uPerry etshela izintatheli.Ngobuchwepheshe, kukhona ukusekelwa okuzungeze izindawo ze-0.9984 kanye ne-0.9939-0.9950.Kepha ukuguquguquka okuguquguqukayo okwenziwa minyaka yonke kukhuphuke kwafinyelela ku-18.89 futhi kwafaka nesidingo senyuka, okukhombisa ukuthi abathengisi bazibeka ethubeni lokuthola i-pop/bust kuleli sonto.


Isikhathi sokuthumela: Jul-13-2022