Idatha yomoya ibonisa ukuthi kusukela ngoJulayi, i-US Dollar Index iqhubekile nokwehla, futhi ngomhla ka-12, yehle ngo-1.06% kakhulu.Ngaso leso sikhathi, kube nokuphikisana okubalulekile kwezinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB yasogwini naphesheya kwezilwandle uma liqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika.
Ngomhla ziyi-14 kuJulayi, i-RMB yasogwini kanye ne-offshore iqhubekile nokukhuphuka kakhulu uma iqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika, yomibili ikhuphuke ngaphezu kuka-7.13 mark.Kusukela ngo-14: 20 ntambama ngomhla ka-14, i-RMB ye-offshore yayihweba ku-7.1298 ngokumelene ne-dollar yase-US, ikhuphuka ngamaphuzu angu-1557 ukusuka phansi kwayo kwe-7.2855 ngoJuni 30;I-onshore Chinese yuan yayiku-7.1230 uma iqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika, ikhuphuke ngamaphuzu angu-1459 ukusuka phansi kwayo okungu-7.2689 ngoJuni 30.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, ngomhlaka-13, izinga lokulinganisa elimaphakathi le-yuan yaseShayina uma liqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika likhuphuke ngamaphuzu angama-238 laya ku-7.1527.Kusukela mhla ziyisi-7 kuJulayi, izinga lokulinganisa elimaphakathi le-yuan yaseShayina uma liqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika liye lakhuphuka izinsuku ezinhlanu zokuhweba zilandelana, okunokwenyuka kwamaphoyinti angu-571.
Abahlaziyi bathi lo mzuliswano wokwehla kwezinga lokushintshisana kwe-RMB usufike esiphethweni, kodwa mancane amathuba okuba kube nokuguqulwa okunamandla esikhathini esifushane.Kulindeleke ukuthi ukuthambekela kwe-RMB uma kuqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika engxenyeni yesithathu kuzoba nokuguquguquka okukhulu.
Ukuncipha kwedola laseMelika noma ukunciphisa ingcindezi ekwehleni kwe-yuan yase-China ngezikhathi ezithile.
Ngemva kokungena kuJulayi, ukuthambekela kwengcindezi kuzinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB kuye kwaba buthaka.Ngeviki lokuqala likaJulayi, izinga lokushintshisana kwe-RMB esogwini liphinde lakhuphuka ngo-0.39% ngeviki elilodwa.Ngemva kokungena kuleli sonto, izinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB elingasogwini liphule amazinga angu-7.22, 7.21, no-7.20 ngoLwesibili (Julayi 11), ngokwazisa kwansuku zonke kwamaphoyinti angaphezu kuka-300.
Ngokombono wokushintshana kwemakethe, "ukuthengiswa kwemakethe bekusebenza kakhulu ngoJulayi 11, futhi inani lentengo yemakethe yezindawo likhuphuke ngamadola ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-5.5 laya kumadola ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-42.8 uma kuqhathaniswa nosuku lwangaphambilini lokuhweba."Ngokohlaziyo lwabasebenzi abahwebayo abavela emnyangweni wemakethe yezezimali we-China Construction Bank.
Ukwehliswa kwesikhashana kokucindezela kokwehla kwe-RMB.Ngokombono wezizathu, u-Wang Yang, uchwepheshe wesu lokushintshisana kwamazwe angaphandle kanye nomphathi jikelele we-Beijing Huijin Tianlu Risk Management Technology Co., Ltd., uthe, "Izisekelo azikashintshi ngokuyisisekelo, kodwa ziqhutshwa kakhulu ubuthakathaka US Dollar Index.”
Muva nje, i-US Dollar Index yehle izinsuku eziyisithupha zilandelana.Kusukela ngo-17:00 ngoJulayi 13, i-US Dollar Index yayisezingeni eliphansi kakhulu lika-100.2291, eduze nomkhawulo wengqondo ongu-100, izinga eliphansi kakhulu kusukela ngoMeyi 2022.
Ngokuqondene nokwehla kwe-US Dollar Index, u-Zhou Ji, umhlaziyi wokushintshaniswa kwamanye amazwe kwa-Nanhua Futures, ukholelwa ukuthi inkomba yokukhiqiza yase-US ISM eyakhishwa ngaphambilini incane kunalokho obekulindelwe, futhi i-boom yokukhiqiza iyaqhubeka nokuncipha, nezimpawu zokwehla imakethe yokuqashwa yase-US evelayo.
Idola laseMelika lisondela ku-100 mark.Idatha yangaphambilini ibonisa ukuthi i-US Dollar Index yangaphambilini yehle ngaphansi kwe-100 ngo-Ephreli 2022.
U-Wang Yang ukholelwa ukuthi lo mzuliswano we-US Dollar Index ungase wehlele emuva ngaphansi kwe-100. “Njengoba kuphela umjikelezo wokwenyuka kwezinga lenzalo ye-Federal Reserve kulo nyaka, kuyindaba nje yesikhathi ngaphambi kokuba i-US Dollar Index ibe ngaphansi kuka-100.76.Uma seliwile lizodala ukwehla kwenani elisha ledola,” usho kanje.
Izinga lokushintshana le-RMB kulindeleke ukuthi libuyele ngaphansi kuka-7.0 ekupheleni konyaka
U-Wang Youxin, umcwaningi e-Bank of China Research Institute, ukholelwa ukuthi ukukhuphuka kabusha kwezinga lokushintshisana kwe-RMB kuhlobene kakhulu ne-US Dollar Index.Uthe imininingwane engeyona ipulazi iphansi kakhulu kunamanani angaphambilini nalindelekile, okukhombisa ukuthi ukusimama komnotho wase-US akuqinile njengoba bekucatshangwa, okupholise ukulindela kwemakethe kokuthi iFederal Reserve iqhubeke nokukhuphula inzalo ngoSepthemba.
Kodwa-ke, izinga lokushintshisana kwe-RMB kungenzeka alikafinyeleli ezingeni loshintsho.Njengamanje, umjikelezo wokwenyuka kwezinga lenzalo we-Federal Reserve awukapheli, futhi izinga lenzalo eliphakeme lingase liqhubeke likhuphuka.Esikhathini esifushane, sisazosekela ukuthambekela kwedola laseMelika, futhi kulindeleke ukuthi i-RMB izokhombisa ukuguquguquka okwengeziwe kwebanga engxenyeni yesithathu.Ngokuthuthuka kwesimo sokusimama komnotho wasekhaya kanye nokwehla kwengcindezi emnothweni waseYurophu nowaseMelika, izinga lokushintshisana nge-RMB lizophindela kancane lisuka phansi engxenyeni yesine esho.
Selokhu asusa izinto zangaphandle njengedola laseMelika elintekenteke, uWang Yang uthe, “Ukwesekwa kwakamuva kwe (RMB) kungase kuvele kulokho okulindelwe yimakethe mayelana nezinhlelo zesikhathi esizayo zokuvuselela umnotho ezakhiwe.
Umbiko wakamuva okhishwe yi-ICBC Asia uphinde waveza ukuthi iphakethe lezinqubomgomo kulindeleke ukuthi liqhubeke nokusetshenziswa engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka, kugxilwe ekukhuthazeni isidingo sasekhaya, ukusimama kwezindawo ezithengiswayo kanye nokuvimbela ubungozi, okuzothuthukisa ukufunwa kwezindlu. umthambeka wokusimama komnotho wesikhashana.Esikhathini esifushane, kungase kube khona ingcindezi yokuguquguquka okuthile ku-RMB, kodwa inkambiso yokwehluka kwezomnotho, inqubomgomo, kanye nokulindela iyancipha.Esikhathini esimaphakathi, umfutho wokusimama kwe-RMB uyakhula kancane kancane.
"Sekukonke, isigaba sengcindezi enkulu yokwehliswa kwe-RMB kungenzeka ukuthi sesidlulile."UFeng Lin, umhlaziyi omkhulu we-Orient Jincheng, ubikezele ukuthi umfutho wokusimama komnotho engxenyeni yesithathu kulindeleke ukuthi uqine, kuhambisana nokwenzeka kokuthi i-US Dollar Index izoqhubeka nokuguquguquka futhi ibe buthaka kulo lonke, kanye nengcindezi Ukwehliswa kwe-RMB kuzovama ukwehla engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka, okungakhiphi ithuba lokwazisa ngokwezigaba.Ngokombono wokuqhathaniswa kwethrendi okuyisisekelo, izinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB kulindeleke ukuthi libuyele ngaphansi kuka-7.0 ngaphambi kokuphela konyaka.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Jul-17-2023